THE ORIGIN OF THE NORFOLK BROADS

 

A CLASSIC CASE OF CONFIRMATION BIAS

 

 BILL SAUNDERS 

The Origin of the Norfolk Broads - a classic case of Confirmation Bias

mallards@tesco.net

  • Home
  • How Joyce Lambert's concept was developed
  • A brief overview of the historical evidence
    • Schedule of documents relating to turbary.
  • How did they really do it?
    • Marietta Pallis
    • Conclusive Evidence
    • 'Dydays', 'Laggying' and 'Baggerbeugels'
  • Why did they stop?
  • The historical evidence in detail
    • The "transition" evidence.
    • The making of Ormesby Broad
    • The making of South Walsham Broad
    • The Mystery of the Abbot's boat
    • The price of peat
    • Appendix 1: Peat costs and prices, 1253-1451
    • Appendix 2: The "constant" price, 1300-1350
    • Appendix 3: Barley Prices
  • The physical evidence
  • About the author. Contact details

The historical evidence in Detail

 

 

 

  

"It is a capital mistake to theorise before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."

 "A Scandal in Bohemia." Conan Doyle

 

Clifford Smith interpreted small samples of evidence to demonstrate the "subsequent flooding" of "great peat pits" at the following specific locations:

Burntfen Broad                              (The "transition" evidence)

Turkey Broad                                 (  "            "             "         )

Barton Broad - southern half          (  "            "             "         )

Ormesby Broad 

South Walsham Broad 

Hoveton Little Broad                     (The Mystery of the Abbot's Boat)

Barton Broad - northern half          (Dydays, Laggying etc.)

 

 

Access any of these sub-sections to review the evidence in detail. Visit or revisit Smith's interpretations as he charted a path which has become well worn by all those content to follow him without question.

  • Does this evidence really prove that the basins of the Norfolk Broads became flooded in the fourteenth century?
  • Is the evidence capable of bearing a different interpretation?
  • Should it be interpreted differently?

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The Origin of the Norfolk Broads - a classic case of Confirmation Bias

mallards@tesco.net